Given the recent developments it’s not too soon to assemble the nightmare scenario. Forgive the length and just bear with me for a bit, just for shits and giggles;
Watch carefully how Trump masterfully avoids actually answering any questions, then transpose that strategy over to the general election if he actually is the nominee and is running against HRC.
All attempts to “nail” him for his ridiculousness, even attempts to hold him to account for the “dipping bullets in pig’s blood” bullshit and his eagerness to deploy torture and become a war criminal, will fail, particularly given the supine nature of television “journalism” today.
He’ll deflect and obfuscate till the cows come home.
If this isn’t enough to stop this fucking clown, maybe we should discuss what would be?
Now factor in just how cannily Trump has left wiggle room, especially on social policy issues, to tack back to the middle (and who the hell knows where that even is anymore?) in a general election.
He’s already thinking about this and is now talking about “toning it down” and “being more presidential”, and he’s certainly, unlike Rubio or Cruz, not going to be talking about forcing women to bear their rapist’s baby, or about defunding Planned Parenthood.
He does actually have a history, currently buried by his pandering to the red meat GOP base, of some comparatively liberal positions, as Cruz and Rubio have been desperately trying to point out.
Then consider that Trump is fearless about browbeating opponents with tirades which accuse them, directly, of lying. I don’t recall a candidate in my lifetime, which is basically the teevee era, willing to engage opposing candidates directly like this, face to face, in a live “debate” setting.
This is the guy who, in South Carolina for crissakes, was screaming about how the most recent GOP president, the very popular Dubya, failed to “keep us safe” and who “lied us into an unnecessary war”.
By any normal political calculus, that’s suicide, but this is not a normal cycle and all those pundits who have been loudly promising that the “normal” rules would eventually reassert themselves are now struggling to breathe past all that egg on their faces.
Now let’s imagine him, in a “debate”, yelling at HRC about all those many occasions where she has been, oh, let’s just say economical with the truth throughout her political career.
Imagine the debate moderator flapping around trying to get control of things.
Imagine HRC trying to appear presidential while either not being able to get a word in edgewise or having to appeal to an utterly ineffective debate moderator.
Then consider that there is a gale-force wind blowing against any and all establishment candidates, not just in the thickets of wingnuttistan but howling across the entire political prairie.
Add in the indisputable fact that HRC is the very quintessence of an establishment candidate, and that the Democrat party establishment (here’s looking at you Wasserman Schultz) is, as usual, arrogantly assuming that all the bitterly disappointed Bernie progressives will be driven back into compliance by the LOTE argument—she’s the Lesser Of Two Evils—and the appalling prospects of at least one and possibly even two or three SCOTUS justices being replaced by the next president.
Stir all that together with the alarmingly high negatives which continue to bedevil HRC, and you have a formula for an electoral train wreck for the Dems the like of which they’ve not seen before ever, and of which they appear to be blissfully unaware.
So, to all those muppets in comment threads across the intertoobs who are busily and condescendingly characterizing the potential nomination of Trump as “the greatest gift to the Democrats”, stop and minute, lift up your heads and sniff the wind.
All that said, no, I don’t really know how all this is going to play out, but this much I do know; this is not an ordinary election cycle, and even without any additional variables like another Paris or San Bernadino or another economic meltdown, neither of which is especially unlikely, the usual political “wisdom” isn’t worth a bucket of spit.